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Futility of Quantitative Predictions by Freeman Dyson


In the long run, qualitative changes 

always outweigh quantitative ones. 

Quantitative predictions 
of economic and social trends 
are made obsolete 
by qualitative changes 
in the rules of the game. 

Quantitative predicitons 
of technological progress 
are made obsolete 
by unpredictable new inventions. 

I am interested 
in the long run, 
the remote future, 
where quantitative predictions 
are meaningless. 

The only certainty 
in that remote future 
is that radically new things 
will be happening.

— Freeman Dyson, Disturbing the Universe (1979), p. 192

http://www.wisdomportal.com/Enlightenment/FreemanDysonQuotes.html

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