Cooling an entire planet
is an immense task in its own right.
But to avert catastrophe,
any geoengineering scheme
must also meet several other requirements.
Some time this century
we are likely to have doubled
the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere,
reducing heat loss by about 3.7 watts
per square metre, averaged across the planet.
We have other prerequisites
for our global refrigerator.
It needs to work without
drastically altering regional climates,
while also preventing sea level from rising.
Ideally we want to stop the oceans
becoming so acidic that coral reefs vanish, too.
STOP THE WARMING
The higher CO2 levels rise,
the harder it will be to prevent
catastrophic temperature rises.
The dramatic warming in the Arctic
will not be easy to reverse,
even with a lower global temperature.
Ice loss from Greenland
will accelerate if we don't stop
the Arctic warming.
The vast East Antarctic ice sheet
is already losing ice.
Merely halting warming
might not prevent the eventual collapse
of the West Antarctic ice sheet.
MAINTAIN A STABLE CLIMATE
Drastic cooling schemes
like global sunshades could reduce global rainfall
and lead to disastrous changes in regional climates.
Altering rainfall patterns could turn
the Amazon rainforest into desert.
Disrupting the Asian monsoon
would cause billions to starve.
HALT SEA LEVEL RISE
Only cooling the poles back down to preindustrial levels
will stop a huge rise in sea levels, yet many geoengineering
schemes will not cool the poles as much as the tropics.
It may already be too late
to save many low-lying
coastal areas from rising seas.
STOP OCEAN ACIDIFICATION
The only way to do this is to remove
CO2 from the oceans or atmosphere.
No one has found a feasible way
to capture enough of it.
If we do not remove CO2 from the oceans,
coral reefs will start to disappear.
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